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Decision-thinking is not unlike poker—it...

Decision-thinking is not unlike poker—it often matters not only what you think, but also what others think you think what you think they think you think. The mental process(过程) is similar. Naturally, this card game has often been of considerable interest to people who are, by any standards, good thinkers.

The great mathematician John von Neumann was one of the founders of game theory. In particular, he showed that all games fall into two classes; there are what he called games of 'perfect information', games like chess where the players can't hide anything or play tricks; they don't win by chance, but by means of logic and skills. Then there are games of 'imperfect information', like poker, in which it is impossible to know in advance that one course of action is better than another.

One mistaken idea about business is that it can be treated as a game of perfect information. Quite the reverse Business, life itself are games which we must normally play with very imperfect information. Business decisions are often made with many unknown and unknowable factors(因素), best poker players. But few business people find it comfortable to admit that they are taking a chance, and many still prefer to believe that they are playing chess, not poker.

1.The subject discussed in this text is _________.

A.the process of reaching decisions

B.the difference between poker and chess.

C.the secret of making good business plans

D.the value of information in winning games

2.An important factor in a game of imperfect information is ___________.

A.rules               B.luck

C.time                D.ideas

3.Which of the following can be used in place of "Quite the reverse" in paragraph 3?

A.Quite right.         B.True enough.

C.Most unlikely.       D.Just the opposite.

4.In the writer's opinion, when making business decisions one should ___________ .

A.put perfect information before imperfect information

B.accept the existence of unknown factors

C.regard business as a game of chess

D.mix known and unknown factors

 

1.A 2.B 3.D 4.B 【解析】 试题分析:本段的主旨是讨论决策过程。在商业决策的过程中有许多未知和不可知的因素,即使是最好的玩家都会感到困惑。 1.A主旨大意题。根据第一段第一、二句Decision-thinking is not unlike poker—it often matters not only what you think, but also what others think you think what you think they think you think. The mental process(过程) is similar. 做决策不像打扑克牌。起作用的不是你怎么想而是别人怎么看待你的想法以及你怎么看待别人对你的看法。其心理过程是同样的。故选A、 2.B 推理判断题。文章第二段有这样一段说明:---游戏可分为两类,一种是被称为“perfect information”的游戏,双方无法隐瞒或进行欺骗,他们不是靠碰巧获胜;另一种则是“imperfect information”的游戏,如打牌,游戏者不可能预先知道他出的这一掌拍是否比另一张好。从作者的这种表达可以推断出,“imperfect information”游戏或身法的一个因素就是运气。故选B。 3.D词义猜测题。根据第三段第一、二句One mistaken idea about business is that it can be treated as a game of perfect information. 对商业的一个错误概念是,它可以被视为一场完美的信息。Quite the reverse Business, life itself are games which we must normally play with very imperfect information. 生活本身就是我们正常必须玩的很不完美的信息游戏。因此可推断划线部分的意思是:恰恰相反的业务。故选D。 4. 【名师点睛】 细节推理题的解题方法 抓住某一段话中的关键信息,即某些关键词或短语先分析、推理、判断,结合上下文或上下句推断出这句话所隐含的深层含义,在判断上,我们要严格依据作者所陈述的细节,找出能够表露作者为思想倾向和感情色彩的词语。然后利用自己获得的相关知识进行推理判断,从而得出符合逻辑的结论。比如第29小题,推理判断题。文章第二段有这样一段说明:---游戏可分为两类,一种是被称为“perfect information”的游戏,双方无法隐瞒或进行欺骗,他们不是靠碰巧获胜;另一种则是“imperfect information”的游戏,如打牌,游戏者不可能预先知道他出的这一掌拍是否比另一张好。从作者的这种表达可以推断出,“imperfect information”游戏或身法的一个因素就是运气。故选B。 考点:考查人生哲理类阅读
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